Autzen Audibles

Here is the quote that Rob M had in the RG. Not sure if he is playing on words but the Coach never said all are eligible.

Question: Just wondering if everyone made the trip and if everyone is eligible?

Answer: Everybody is on the trip.

The Auburn AD stated yesterday that if players weren't eligible then they would not make the trip period. But Chizik definitely dodged the question, which makes you wonder.

We, the fans, will be the last to know. Watch the spread and moneyline. Big money will be the first to know if something is affecting on the field results. It has been moving in the past week but without significant change (+1 pt and a few tens on the M.L.)

Interesting. Source?

Some Auburneers told me that, "Terrell Zachery is the only Auburn player of any consequence that has academic issues. A waiver is being sought, he may still play."

(for what that's worth)

More concretely, as for the money, I noticed the line changed from Oregon +3 -105 to Oregon +3 -120... that means vegas is trying to dissuade people from betting on Oregon, meaning lots of Oregon money has come in (for the non-degenerates on the board).

Thanks for the premeer Sick. I have never understood how the lines work and don't really think that will change in the future. The only thing I bet on is the lottery when it get big enough.

If someone wants to write an explan of sports books, I for one would be very interested!!

I think we're saying the same thing and disagreeing, which is no small feat.

Vegas is trying to even out the money, no question. To do so they change the odds to entice the bettor to bet the under-represented side. You seem to be viewing the situation as static from the gamblers perspective. That is, you seem to think that if someone is betting Oregon, they are betting Oregon, regardless of what the sportsbook charges. I disagree. I think that as the line changes (either odds or spread) the majority of the new action comes from people reacting to that change.

Thus, my statement that vegas is trying to discourage people from betting Oregon by offering worse odds.

And as long as we're nitpicking, changing the line does not allow Vegas to get the vig without opening itself up to exposure. Rather, it's an attempt to get some fraction of the vig without opening itself up to exposure. They end up getting much less than the original 1/22 of the bets if they have to adjust the odds to even out the money on both sides.

The other option is to move the line, leaving the odds at -110. In this case they still get their 1/22 vig, but open themselves up to the doomsday scenario of getting middled where they lose/tie the majority of their bets at both the old and new line. Since 3 is such a good number in football, Vegas will try their best not to come off this line, and rather just adjust the odds (at the expense of some fraction of their vig). If the line were originally 2.5, I'd guess it would have moved to 2 by now, rather than keeping the line and adjusting the odds. I guess that depends no the individual book and their level of risk tolerance, though.

I'm sure nobody but me (and possibly you, Desert) care about any of this, but I felt the need to defend my statement.

Go Ducks!

not at all. I've been hanging around here for a while reading everyone's input and appreciate it all. I too like gambling and just wanted to talk about it. no a-holeishness detected at all, haha. Sorry if I came off sensitive - I really wasn't. Go Ducks!

DITD and Sick, thanks for the discussion, I found it quite interesting.

The question remains though, are the Duckies going to win?